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CIA World Factbook 2007 Estimates for Life Expectancy at birth (years).           over 80      77.5-80.0      75.0-77.5      72.5-75.0      70.0-72.5      67.5-70.0      65.0-67.5       60-65      55-60      50-55      45-50      40-45      under 40               not available
CIA World Factbook 2007 Estimates for Life Expectancy at birth (years).
     over 80      77. 5-80. 0      75. 0-77. 5      72. 5-75. 0      70. 0-72. 5      67. 5-70. 0      65. 0-67. 5      60-65      55-60      50-55      45-50      40-45      under 40      not available

Life expectancy is a statistical measure of the average life span (average length of survival) of a specified population. It most often refers to the expected age to be reached before death for a given human population (by nation, by current age, or by other demographic variables). Demographics or demographic data refers to selected population characteristics as used in government Marketing or opinion research or the Demographic profiles Life expectancy may also refer to the expected time remaining to live, and that too can be calculated for any age or for any group.

Life expectancy is heavily dependent on the criteria used to select the group. In countries with high infant mortality rates, the life expectancy at birth is highly sensitive to the rate of death in the first few years of life. Infant mortality is defined as the number of deaths of Infants (one year of age or younger per 1000 live births In these cases, another measure such as life expectancy at age 5 (e5) can be used to exclude the effects of infant mortality to reveal the effects of causes of death other than early childhood causes.

See also List of countries by life expectancy

Contents

Life expectancy over human history

Life expectancy has been increasing and converging for most of the world.       Asia (excluding Middle East)      Central America & Caribbean      Europe      Middle East & North Africa      North America      Oceania      South America      Sub-Saharan Africa
Life expectancy has been increasing and converging for most of the world. __FORCETOC__This is a list of countries by Life expectancy at birth the average number of years to be lived by a group of people born in the same year if mortality at each age remains      Asia (excluding Middle East)      Central America & Caribbean      Europe      Middle East & North Africa      North America      Oceania      South America      Sub-Saharan Africa

Life expectancy is the average number of years a human has before death, conventionally calculated from the time of birth, but also can be calculated from any specified age.

One of the biggest jumps in life expectancy coincided with the introduction of sewers, which greatly reduced the spread of disease. In the last few centuries a strong statistical effect was caused by the near elimination of infant mortality in the Western world and elsewhere. Statistics is a mathematical science pertaining to the collection analysis interpretation or explanation and presentation of Data. Average life expectancy before the health transition of the modern era is thought to have varied between about 20 years and 40 years. It is important to note that most people who quote pre-modern life expectancies include infant mortality in their calculations. Also, the life expectancy for women was lower throughout history than it was for men; because, until modern medicine, one in four women died in childbirth. Childbirth (also called labour, birth, partus or parturition) is the culmination of a Human Pregnancy or If one survived childhood one could expect to live into old age in any time throughout history. It has been suggested that life expectancy fell with the introduction of plant and animal domestication because of:

Advances in sanitation, nutrition, and medical knowledge made possible incredible changes in life expectancy in the United States and throughout the world, providing subjects for study as well as the need to study them. Sanitation is the hygienic means of preventing human contact from the hazards of wastes to promote health Nutrition (also called nourishment or aliment) is the provision to cells and Organisms of the materials necessary (in the form of food to support In the United States, only 50 percent of children born in 1900 could reasonably hope to reach the age of 50; life expectancy today is approximately 77 years of age. But note that there is a big discrepancy between males and females, 73. 6 years for men and 79. 4 years for women. Life expectancy is lower for African Americans; 67. 2 years for men and 74. 7 years for women (Hoyert, Kochanek, and Murphy, 1999).

Life expectancy recovered somewhat, but it is only in recent centuries that it has dramatically increased. These changes are the result of a combination of factors including nutrition and public health, and medicine only marginally. The most important single factor in the increase is the reduction of death in infancy.

The greatest improvements have been in the richest parts of the world. Life expectancy increased dramatically in the 20th century. Life expectancy at birth in the United States in 1900 was 47 years. The United States of America —commonly referred to as the Year 1900 ( MCM) was an exceptional Common year starting on Monday (link will display the full calendar of the Gregorian calendar Life expectancy in India at mid-century was around 32, by 2000 it had risen to 64 years. India, officially the Republic of India (भारत गणराज्य inc-Latn Bhārat Gaṇarājya; see also other Indian languages) is a country According to the 2006 WHO Report, due to HIV/AIDS and other health related issues today's life expectancy in poorer nations is almost half that of the industrialized, richer nations [1]. Human immunodeficiency virus ( HIV) is a Lentivirus (a member of the Retrovirus family that can lead to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

Calculating life expectancy from birth emphasizes contributions to improvement in health at lower ages; low pre-modern life expectancy is influenced by high infant and childhood mortality. If a person did make it to the age of forty they had an average of another twenty years to live. Improvements in sanitation, public health, and nutrition have mainly increased the numbers of people living beyond childhood, with less effect on overall average lifetimes.

The major exception to this general pattern of improvement has been in countries most affected by AIDS, especially Sub-Saharan Africa, which have seen significant decrements in life expectancy. Sub-Saharan Africa is a geographical term used to describe the area of the African continent which lies south of the Sahara, or those African countries Another exception is Russia and some other former USSR republics after the collapse of the Soviet Union - in 1999 life expectancy of men dropped to 59. Russia (Россия Rossiya) or the Russian Federation ( Rossiyskaya Federatsiya) is a transcontinental Country extending The post-Soviet states, also commonly known as former Soviet republics, are the 15 independent nations that split off from the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics 9 years (below the official retirement age), and the life expectancy of women dropped to 72. 43 years. The commonly offered hypothesis for this decrease is not related to AIDS/HIV but rather to an increase in alcohol and drug abuse. Drug abuse has a wide range of definitions related to taking a Psychoactive drug or Performance enhancing drug for a non-therapeutic or non-medical effect [2]

In recent years, obesity-related diseases have become a major public health issue in many countries. The prevalence of obesity is thought to have reduced life expectancy by contributing to the rise of cancers, heart disease and diabetes in the developed world. However, recent studies in the developed world have found "that people who are modestly overweight have a lower risk of death than those of normal weight. "[3] It remains to be determined whether this epidemic will have negative effect on the life expectancy of developed countries. Most continue to have improving life expectancies.

Timeline for humans

Homo sapiens live on average 32. Human beings, humans or man (Origin 1590–1600 L homō man OL hemō the earthly one (see Humus 6 years in Swaziland and on average 81 years in Australia. The Kingdom of Swaziland is a country located in Southern Africa centred at approximately 26o49'S 31o38'E For a topic outline on this subject see List of basic Australia topics. The oldest confirmed recorded age for any human is 122 years, though some people are reported to have lived longer. Jeanne Louise Calment (ʒan lwiz kalˈmɑ̃ February 21, 1875  – August 4, 1997) She lived in Arles, France Although there are several longevity myths mostly in different stories that were spread in some cultures, there is no scientific proof of a human living for hundreds of years at any point of time. For validated claims see Supercentenarian; for partially-validated and unvalidated claims see Longevity claims. The following information is derived from the Encyclopaedia Britannica, 1961, as well as other sources:

Humans by Era Average Lifespan at Birth
(years)
Comment
Neanderthal 20 Homo neanderthalensis is a similar species of modern humans but is still in any case a fellow member of the genus Homo. The Neanderthal (neɪˈændərtɑːl also with /niː-/ and /-θɔːl/ or Neandertal, is an extinct member of the Homo genus that is known from
Upper Paleolithic 33 At age 15: 39 (to age 54)[4][5]
Neolithic 20  
Bronze Age[6] 18  
Classical Greece[7] 20-30  
Classical Rome[8][9] 20-30  
Pre-Columbian North America[10] 25-35  
Medieval Britain[11][12] 20-30  
Early 20th Century[13][14] 30-40  
Current world average[15] 67

These represent the life expectancies of the population as a whole. The term Paleolithic (or Palaeolithic) (from Greek παλαιός palaios, " Old " and λίθος Lithos, "stone" The Neolithic (from Greek νεολιθικός — neolithikos from νέος neos, "new" + λίθος lithos The term Bronze Age refers to a period in human cultural development when the most advanced Metalworking (at least in systematic and widespread use included techniques for In the context of the art architecture and culture of Ancient Greece, the classical period corresponds to most of the 5th and 4th centuries Ancient Rome was a Civilization that grew out of a small agricultural community founded on the Italian Peninsula as early as the 10th century BC For indigenous peoples in the United States other than Hawaii and Alaska see also Native Americans in the United States. Great Britain during the Middle Ages (from the 5th century withdrawal of Roman forces from the province of Britannia The world population is the total number of living Humans on Earth at a given time In many instances life expectancy varied considerably according to class and gender. Life expectancy rises sharply in all cases for those who reach puberty. All statistics include infant mortality, but not miscarriage or abortion. Infant mortality is defined as the number of deaths of Infants (one year of age or younger per 1000 live births Miscarriage or spontaneous abortion is the natural or spontaneous end of a Pregnancy at a stage where the embryo or fetus is incapable of surviving generally defined An This table also rejects certain beliefs based on myths that the old age man had a higher life expectancy. The sharp drop in life expectancy with the advent of the Neolithic mirrors the evidence that the advent of agriculture actually marked a sharp drop in life expectancy that humans are only recovering from in affluent nations today. The Neolithic (from Greek νεολιθικός — neolithikos from νέος neos, "new" + λίθος lithos

Variations in life expectancy in the world today

There are great variations in life expectancy worldwide, mostly caused by differences in public health, medicine and nutrition from country to country. Public health is "the science and art of preventing disease prolonging life and promoting health through the organised efforts and informed choices of society organisations

There are also variations between groups within single countries. Significant differences still remain in life expectancy between men and women in France and other developed countries, with women outliving men by five years or more. The term developed country, or advanced country, is used to categorize countries with developed Economies in which the tertiary and quaternary sectors These gender differences have been lessening in recent years, with men's life expectancy improving at a faster rate than women's. In France, significant differences in life expectancy between different racial and ethnic groups have persisted, though they have lessened somewhat. Poverty, in particular, has a very substantial effect on life expectancy. In the United Kingdom life expectancy in the wealthiest areas is ten years longer than the poorest areas and the gap appears to be increasing as life expectancy for the prosperous continues to increase while in more deprived communities there is little increase. [16]

Life expectancy may also be reduced for people exposed to high levels of highway air pollution or industrial air pollution. Roadway air dispersion modeling is the study of Air pollutant transport from a roadway or other linear emitter Air pollution is the human introduction into the atmosphere of Chemicals Particulate matter, or Biological materials that cause harm or discomfort Occupation may also have a major effect on life expectancy. Well-educated professionals working in offices have a high life expectancy, while coal miners (and in prior generations, asbestos cutters) do not. Other factors affecting an individual's life expectancy are genetic disorders, obesity, access to health care, diet, exercise, tobacco smoking, and excessive drug and alcohol use. Tobacco Smoking is the inhalation of smoke from burned dried or cured leaves of the Tobacco plant most often in the form of a Cigarette.

As pointed out above, AIDS has recently had a negative effect on life expectancy, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Evolution and aging rate

The different lifespans of different plants and animals, including humans, raises the question of why such lifespans are found.

The evolutionary theory is that organisms that are able by virtue of their defenses or lifestyle to live for long periods whilst avoiding accidents, disease, predation etc. are likely to have genes that code for slow aging- good repair.

This is so because if a change to the organism (for example a bird might evolve stronger wings) may mean that it is exceptionally capable of escaping from predation, then it will live longer, and typically die of old age. It will also be more likely to survive to reproduce, so these genes will spread through the gene pool. History See also History of genetics The existence of genes was first suggested by Gregor Mendel (1822-1884 who in the 1860s studied inheritance Thus, a member of the population with the better wings who by chance also has genes that code for better repair will spend a longer time than its contemporaries in the best reproductive years and have more successors. Its genes will tend to dominate more and more of the gene pool and genes for slower aging and by a similar argument a slower reproduction rate, will dominate.

Conversely a change to the environment that means that organisms die younger from a common disease or a new threat from a predator will mean that organisms that have genes that code for putting more energy into reproduction than repair will do better. Reproduction is the Biological process by which new individual Organisms are produced

The support for this theory includes the fact that better defended animals, for example small birds that can fly away from danger live for a decade or more whereas mice which cannot, die of old age in a year or two. Tortoises and turtles are very well defended indeed and can live for over a hundred years. A classic study comparing opossums on a protected island with unprotected opossums also supports this theory.

But there are also counterexamples, suggesting that there is more to the story. Guppies in predator-free habitats evolve shorter life spans than nearby populations of guppies where predators exact a large toll. The guppy (la '''''Poecilia reticulata''''' also known as the millionfish, is one of the most popular freshwater aquarium fish species in the world A broad survey of mammals indicates many more exceptions. The theory of evolution of aging may be in flux. Enquiry into the evolution of ageing aims to explain why almost all living things weaken

Another main counterexample is that the evolutionary traits best for short term survival may be detrimental to long term survival. For example, a hummingbird's extremely fast wings allow it to escape from predators and to find mates, assuring that the genetic trait for fast wings is passed on, explained by natural selection. Hummingbirds are Birds in the family Trochilidae, and are endemic to the Americas. Genetics (from Ancient Greek grc-Latn genetikos, “genitive” and that from grc-Latn genesis, “origin” a discipline of Biology, is Natural selection is the process by which favorable Heritable traits become more common in successive Generations of a Population of However, these fast wings can be detrimental to the hummingbird's long term health, as the wings consume vast amounts of Adenosine triphosphate (cellular energy molecules) and cause the bird's heart to deteriorate with permanent and long-term wear. Adenosine-5'-triphosphate ( ATP) is a multifunctional Nucleotide that is most important as a " molecular currency" of intracellular Energy The heart is a muscular organ in all Vertebrates responsible for pumping Blood through the Blood vessels by repeated rhythmic This allows for hummingbirds to effectively survive and reproduce, however as a result, hummingbirds usually die shortly after reproducing.

Short term survival traits are usually those that are most commonly passed on in natural selection. Natural selection is the process by which favorable Heritable traits become more common in successive Generations of a Population of However, humans with technology have prioritized their traits to improve long term survival, as they have already developed short term survival to a significant extent by ensuring their dominance of the food chain. This is known as artificial selection. Artificial selection is the intentional breeding for certain traits or combinations of traits over others and is synonymous with " Selective breeding "

Higher female life expectancy

If one does not consider the many women who die while giving birth or in pregnancy, the female human life expectancy is considerably higher than those of men, who, on average, consume more tobacco, alcohol and drugs than females. In most countries many more men than women commit suicide. In general, men are more likely to be murdered. In wars, many men die in combat as soldiers. Men tend to take more risks than females when they drive cars or motorcycles. [2]

There is significantly more research and awareness for women's health than men's health. For example there are seven breast cancer drugs for every one prostate cancer drug. In respect to US federal funding, there is twice as much money dedicated breast cancer than to prostate cancer. [3] The United States has an office dedicated to women's health while there is not one for men. The situation is mirrored in other industrialized countries.

Some argue that shorter male life expectancy is merely another manifestation of the general rule, in all mammal species, that larger individuals tend on average to have shorter lives. [4][17] If small body size is a result of poor nutrition and not of genetics, then the rule is the other way around: better nourished people are taller and live longer. [5]

In their menstruation cycle females regularly lose some blood, which rids them of toxic heavy metals and of iron, which causes oxidative stress. Human females have two X-Chromosomes while males have only one, thus males are more prone for X-linked hereditary diseases than females.

Lower life expectancy in people with serious mental illness

Persons with serious Mental illness die, on average, 25 years earlier than the general public. Mental disorder or mental illness is a psychological or behavioral pattern that occurs in an individual and is thought to cause distress or disability that is not expected as

Mental illnesses such as schizophrenia, bipolar disorder and major depression. Three out of five mentally ill die from mostly preventable physical diseases. Diseases such as Heart/Cardiovascular disease, Diabetes, Dyslipidaemia, Respiratory ailments, Pneumonia, Influenza. Cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular diseases refers to the class of diseases that involve the Heart or Blood vessels ( arteries and Diabetes mellitus (ˌdaɪəˈbiːtiːz or /ˌdaɪəˈbiːtəs/ /məˈlaɪtəs/ or /ˈmɛlətəs/ often referred to simply as diabetes ( Ancient Greek: grc Dyslipidemia is a disruption in the amount of Lipids in the blood Pneumonia is an inflammatory illness of the Lung. Frequently it is described as lung Parenchyma / alveolar inflammation and abnormal

Calculating life expectancies

The starting points for calculating life expectancies is the age-specific death rates of the population members. In Actuarial science, a life table (also called a mortality table or actuarial table) is a table which shows for a person at each age what the probability For example, if 10% of a group of people alive at their 90th birthday die before their 91st birthday, then the age-specific death rate at age 90 would be 10%.

These values are then used to calculate a life table, from which one can calculate the probability of surviving to each age. In Actuarial science, a life table (also called a mortality table or actuarial table) is a table which shows for a person at each age what the probability In actuarial notation the probability of surviving from age x to age x+n is denoted \,_np_x\! and the probability of dying during age x (i. Actuarial notation is a shorthand method to allow actuaries to record mathematical formulas that deal with interest rates and Life tables. e. between ages x and x+1) is denoted q_x\!.

The life expectancy at age x, denoted \,e_x\!, is then calculated by adding up the probabilities to survive to every age. This is the expected number of complete years lived (one may think of it as the number of birthdays they celebrate).

e_x =\sum_{t=1}^{\infty}\,_tp_x = \sum_{t=0}^{\infty}t \,_tp_x q_{x+t}

Because age is rounded down to the last birthday, on average people live half a year beyond their final birthday, so half a year is added to the life expectancy to calculate the full life expectancy.

Life expectancy is by definition an arithmetic mean. In Mathematics and Statistics, the arithmetic Mean (or simply the mean) of a list of numbers is the sum of all the members of the list divided It can be calculated also by integrating the survival curve from ages 0 to positive infinity (the maximum lifespan, sometimes called 'omega'). For an extinct cohort (all people born in year 1850, for example), of course, it can simply be calculated by averaging the ages at death. In Statistics and Demography, a cohort is a group of subjects &mdash most often humans from a given population &mdash defined by experiencing an event (typically For cohorts with some survivors it is estimated by using mortality experience in recent years.

Note that no allowance has been made in this calculation for expected changes in life expectancy in the future. Usually when life expectancy figures are quoted, they have been calculated like this with no allowance for expected future changes. This means that quoted life expectancy figures are not generally appropriate for calculating how long any given individual of a particular age is expected to live, as they effectively assume that current death rates will be "frozen" and not change in the future. Instead, life expectancy figures can be thought of as a useful statistic to summarize the current health status of a population. Some models do exist to account for the evolution of mortality (e. g. , the Lee-Carter model[18]).

See also

Increasing life expectancy

References

  1. ^ Galor, Oded and Moav, Omer, "Natural Selection and the Evolution of Life Expectancy" (October 12, 2005). Biodemography is the science dealing with the integration of biology and Demography. Calorie restriction, or caloric restriction (CR aims to improve health and slow the aging process by limiting dietary energy intake Demography is the statistical study of all Populations. It can be a very general science that can be applied to any kind of dynamic population that is one that changes over The DNA damage theory of aging assumes that aging is a consequence of a universal characteristic of life the vulnerability of the Genetic material to damage Economics is the social science that studies the production distribution, and consumption of goods and services. Indefinite lifespan is a term used in the Life extension movement to refer to the longevity of humans and other lifeforms under conditions in which aging can be effectively In Actuarial science, a life table (also called a mortality table or actuarial table) is a table which shows for a person at each age what the probability __FORCETOC__This is a list of countries by Life expectancy at birth the average number of years to be lived by a group of people born in the same year if mortality at each age remains Maximum life span is a measure of the maximum amount of time one or more members of a group has been observed to survive between birth and death Medieval Demography is the study of human Demography in Europe during the Middle Ages. Hormesis (from Hellenistic Greek hórmēsis "rapid motion eagerness" from ancient Greek hormáein "to set in motion impel urge on" is Mortality rate is a measure of the number of Deaths (in general or due to a specific cause in some population scaled to the size of that population per unit time Senescence refers to the biological processes of a living Organism approaching an advanced age (i John Glen Sperling (born 1921 is an American Billionaire who is credited with leading the contemporary for-profit education movement in the United States Life extension refers to an increase in maximum or average lifespan, especially in humans by slowing down or reversing the processes of aging. The word longevity is sometimes used as a synonym for " Life expectancy " in Demography. Rejuvenation is the procedure of reversing the aging process, thus regaining youth Oded Galor is an Israeli economist Work Oded Galor has made significant contributions to the study of Development traps Population economics, Events 539 BC - The army of Cyrus the Great of Persia takes Babylon. Year 2005 ( MMV) was a Common year starting on Saturday (link displays full calendar of the Gregorian calendar. Minerva Center for Economic Growth Paper No. 02-05 http://ssrn.com/abstract=563741
  2. ^ Health warning over Russian youth
  3. ^ CDC Links Extra Pounds, Lower Death Risk, Associated Press, April 20, 2005.
  4. ^ Hillard Kaplan, et. al, in "A Theory of Human Life History Evolution: Diet, Intelligence,weed knowledge and Longevity" (Evolutionary Anthropology, 2000, p. 156-185, - http://www.soc.upenn.edu/courses/2003/spring/soc621_iliana/readings/kapl00d.pdf
  5. ^ Caspari & Lee 'Older age becomes common late in human evolution' (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA, 2004, p. 10895-10900
  6. ^ James Trefil, "Can We Live Forever?" 101 Things You Don't Know About Science and No One Else Does Either (1996)
  7. ^ Average Life Expectancy at Birth
  8. ^ Life expectancy (sociology)
  9. ^ University of Wyoming
  10. ^ Pre-European Exploration, Prehistory through 1540
  11. ^ Time traveller's guide to Medieval Britain
  12. ^ A millennium of health improvement
  13. ^ World Health Organization
  14. ^ Our Special Place in History
  15. ^ World Bank - http://www.worldbank.org/depweb/english/modules/social/life/index.html
  16. ^ Department of Health -Tackling health inequalities: Status report on the Programme for Action
  17. ^ Samaras, Thomas T. und Heigh, Gregory H. : How human size affects longevity and mortality from degenerative diseases. Townsend Letter for Doctors & Patients 159: 78-85, 133-139
  18. ^ Ronald D. Lee and Lawrence Carter. 1992. "Modeling and Forecasting the Time Series of U. S. Mortality," Journal of the American Statistical Association 87 (September): 659-671.

Further reading

External links

Dictionary

life expectancy

-noun

  1. years of expected life according to statistical tables
  2. probable future
  3. chances of survival
  4. statistical chances
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